49 research outputs found

    Large-scale Analysis and Simulation of Traffic Flow using Markov Models

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    Modeling and simulating movement of vehicles in established transportation infrastructures, especially in large urban road networks is an important task. It helps with understanding and handling traffic problems, optimizing traffic regulations and adapting the traffic management in real time for unexpected disaster events. A mathematically rigorous stochastic model that can be used for traffic analysis was proposed earlier by other researchers which is based on an interplay between graph and Markov chain theories. This model provides a transition probability matrix which describes the traffic's dynamic with its unique stationary distribution of the vehicles on the road network. In this paper, a new parametrization is presented for this model by introducing the concept of two-dimensional stationary distribution which can handle the traffic's dynamic together with the vehicles' distribution. In addition, the weighted least squares estimation method is applied for estimating this new parameter matrix using trajectory data. In a case study, we apply our method on the Taxi Trajectory Prediction dataset and road network data from the OpenStreetMap project, both available publicly. To test our approach, we have implemented the proposed model in software. We have run simulations in medium and large scales and both the model and estimation procedure, based on artificial and real datasets, have been proved satisfactory. In a real application, we have unfolded a stationary distribution on the map graph of Porto, based on the dataset. The approach described here combines techniques whose use together to analyze traffic on large road networks has not previously been reported

    Markov modeling of traffic flow in Smart Cities

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    Modeling and simulating the traffic flow in large urban road networks are important tasks. A mathematically rigorous stochastic model proposed in [8] is based on the synthesis of the graph and Markov chain theories. In this model, the transition probability matrix describes the traffic dynamics and its unique stationary distribution approximates the proportion of the vehicles at the segments of the road network. In this paper various Markov models are studied and a simulation method is presented for generating random traffic trajectories on a road network based on the two-dimensional stationary distribution of the models. In a case study we apply our method to the central region of the city of Debrecen by using the road network data from the OpenStreetMap project which is available publicly

    Markov modeling of traffic flow in Smart Cities

    Get PDF
    Modeling and simulating the traffic flow in large urban road networks are important tasks. A mathematically rigorous stochastic model proposed in [8] is based on the synthesis of the graph and Markov chain theories. In this model, the transition probability matrix describes the traffic dynamics and its unique stationary distribution approximates the proportion of the vehicles at the segments of the road network. In this paper various Markov models are studied and a simulation method is presented for generating random traffic trajectories on a road network based on the two-dimensional stationary distribution of the models. In a case study we apply our method to the central region of the city of Debrecen by using the road network data from the OpenStreetMap project which is available publicly
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